{"schema":"wetter.kaipfstr.de/tendenz/1","berechnet_utc":"2026-11-03T01:43:47Z","quelle":{"schnappschussdateien_gesamt":370,"schnappschussdateien_unlesbar":0,"ausgabetage_gewertet":68,"ausgabetage_von":"2026-07-18","ausgabetage_bis":"2026-11-03","ausgabetage_ohne_lauf":["2026-08-11","2026-08-12","2026-08-13","2026-08-14","2026-08-15","2026-08-16","2026-08-17","2026-08-18","2026-08-22","2026-08-23","2026-08-24","2026-08-25","2026-08-26","2026-08-27","2026-08-28","2026-08-29","2026-08-30","2026-08-31","2026-09-01","2026-09-02","2026-09-03","2026-09-04","2026-09-05","2026-09-06","2026-09-07","2026-09-29","2026-09-30","2026-10-18","2026-10-19","2026-10-20","2026-10-21","2026-10-22","2026-10-23","2026-10-24","2026-10-25","2026-10-26","2026-10-27","2026-10-28","2026-10-29","2026-10-30","2026-10-31"],"spaete_laeufe":[{"ausgabetag":"2026-07-18","generated_utc":"2026-07-18T09:25Z","ortszeit":"11:25","nach_mittag":false},{"ausgabetag":"2026-07-19","generated_utc":"2026-07-19T06:38Z","ortszeit":"08:38","nach_mittag":false},{"ausgabetag":"2026-08-03","generated_utc":"2026-08-03T04:09Z","ortszeit":"06:09","nach_mittag":false},{"ausgabetag":"2026-08-19","generated_utc":"2026-08-19T12:05Z","ortszeit":"14:05","nach_mittag":true},{"ausgabetag":"2026-09-08","generated_utc":"2026-09-08T15:01Z","ortszeit":"17:01","nach_mittag":true},{"ausgabetag":"2026-10-01","generated_utc":"2026-10-01T16:32Z","ortszeit":"18:32","nach_mittag":true},{"ausgabetag":"2026-10-15","generated_utc":"2026-10-15T05:03Z","ortszeit":"07:03","nach_mittag":false},{"ausgabetag":"2026-10-16","generated_utc":"2026-10-16T04:53Z","ortszeit":"06:53","nach_mittag":false},{"ausgabetag":"2026-10-17","generated_utc":"2026-10-17T04:51Z","ortszeit":"06:51","nach_mittag":false},{"ausgabetag":"2026-11-01","generated_utc":"2026-11-01T06:39Z","ortszeit":"07:39","nach_mittag":false},{"ausgabetag":"2026-11-02","generated_utc":"2026-11-02T06:40Z","ortszeit":"07:40","nach_mittag":false}],"messung":"DWD-Stationsmessung via Bright Sky (data/measured.json)","vorhersage":"Open-Meteo, archiviert in data/forecasts/ (CC BY 4.0)","klimatologie":"data/klimatologie.json (ERA5 1991-2020)"},"grenze_k":2.0,"mindestfaelle":30,"mindest_zieltage":10,"regeln":["Je Ausgabetag wird nur ein Lauf gewertet: der mit der kleinsten generated_utc.","Ein Lauf, in dem Staedte fehlen (Feld fehlend), zaehlt nur dann als fruehester Lauf seines Ausgabetags, wenn es fuer diesen Tag keinen vollstaendigen gibt; sonst gilt der frueheste vollstaendige.","Vorlauf = Zieltag minus Ausgabetag in Kalendertagen (Europe/Berlin), 0 bis 7.","Vorhersage = Median der Modelle, die fuer den Tag einen Wert geliefert haben (mindestens zwei).","Mittel = ERA5-Gittermittel 1991-2020 ueber +/- 3 Tage um den Kalendertag (klimatologie.json). Ein Gitterwert von rund 30 km, keine Station.","Klasse: Abweichung vom Mittel, auf zwei Stellen gerundet. unter = mehr als 2.0 K darunter, ueber = mehr als 2.0 K darueber, nahe = alles dazwischen einschliesslich der Grenzen. Die Klassen heissen nicht 'kaelter/waermer als normal': ein Teil der Abweichung ist der Versatz zwischen Station und Gitterzelle.","immer_ueber = die Regel 'wird eh waermer': sie sagt fuer jeden Fall 'ueber'.","abweichung_bleibt = die Klasse der DWD-Messung vom Vortag der Ausgabe gegen das Mittel dieses Vortags gilt auch fuer den Zieltag.","Gewertet wird nur ein Fall, fuer den alle drei Regeln eine Klasse haben; alle drei sehen exakt dieselben Faelle. ohne_vortag und ohne_mittel zaehlen, was dabei wegfiel.","Verglichen wird nur innerhalb eines Vorlaufs. Die Vorlaeufe sehen verschiedene Zieltage (Archivbeginn, Ausfall vom August); mittlere_abweichung_gemessen und faelle_je_monat zeigen, wie verschieden. gleiche_zieltage rechnet dieselben Quoten nur auf Stadt-Zieltag-Paaren, die in allen Vorlaeufen 0 bis 7 vorkommen.","vorsprung_pp = Quote der Vorhersage minus Quote der faulen Regel, in Prozentpunkten, aus den Zaehlungen gerechnet. vorsprung_spanne95_pp = 95-%-Spanne daraus, 1000 Ziehungen ganzer Zieltage mit festem Startwert: Faelle desselben Tages teilen eine Wetterlage. Mehrtaegige Lagen erfasst auch das nicht, die Spanne ist eher zu schmal.","versatz: je Stadt die mittlere gemessene und vorhergesagte Abweichung am Vorlauf 0 und ihre Differenz (stationsanteil_k). Die Vorhersage kennt die Station nicht; was beide gemeinsam ueber dem Mittel liegen, ist Wetter, Lage der Gitterzelle, Erwaermung seit 1991-2020 oder Glaettung im Gittermittel -- getrennt wird das hier nicht.","Meist ist der gewertete Lauf der vom Vorabend (gegen 00:30 Uhr Ortszeit). Die in quelle.spaete_laeufe genannten Ausgabetage hatten keinen solchen; ihr fruehester Lauf entstand erst ab 6 Uhr Ortszeit am Ausgabetag, nach 12 Uhr kannte er bei Vorlauf 0 schon einen Teil des Tages. Sie zaehlen mit; faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen sagt je Vorlauf, wie viele Faelle das sind.","vorhersage_ab_ausgabetag: erster gewerteter Ausgabetag, dessen Lauf die Groesse enthaelt. Liefert der frueheste Lauf eines Tages sie noch nicht, wird nicht auf einen spaeteren ausgewichen.","Unter 30 Faellen oder unter 10 verschiedenen Zieltagen steht statt Zahlen zustand waechst."],"groessen":{"tmax":{"bezeichnung":"Tageshoechstwert","zustand":"ok","faelle":12269,"zieltage":89,"staedte":25,"ohne_vortag":0,"ohne_mittel":0,"vorhersage_ab_ausgabetag":"2026-07-18","messung_von":"2026-05-18","messung_bis":"2026-11-01","staedte_mit_messung":25,"nach_vorlauf":[{"vorlauf":0,"faelle":1566,"zieltage":66,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.32,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.22,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":13.0,"nahe":40.4,"ueber":46.7},"treffer":{"vorhersage":1377,"immer_ueber":731,"abweichung_bleibt":904},"quote":{"vorhersage":87.9,"immer_ueber":46.7,"abweichung_bleibt":57.7},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":41.3,"abweichung_bleibt":30.2},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[33.4,48.6],"abweichung_bleibt":[24.8,35.2]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":230,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":82,"zu_hoch":107},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":136,"nahe":29,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":67,"nahe":563,"ueber":53},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":40,"ueber":678}},"zieltage_von":"2026-07-18","zieltage_bis":"2026-11-01","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-07":350,"2026-08":325,"2026-09":513,"2026-10":357,"2026-11":21}},{"vorlauf":1,"faelle":1541,"zieltage":65,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.23,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.09,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":14.0,"nahe":40.2,"ueber":45.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":1341,"immer_ueber":706,"abweichung_bleibt":715},"quote":{"vorhersage":87.0,"immer_ueber":45.8,"abweichung_bleibt":46.4},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":41.2,"abweichung_bleibt":40.6},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[33.3,48.9],"abweichung_bleibt":[34.1,46.7]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":209,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":86,"zu_hoch":114},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":141,"nahe":24,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":74,"nahe":556,"ueber":62},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":40,"ueber":644}},"zieltage_von":"2026-07-19","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-18","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-07":325,"2026-08":350,"2026-09":509,"2026-10":357}},{"vorlauf":2,"faelle":1537,"zieltage":65,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.39,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.06,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":14.2,"nahe":38.5,"ueber":47.3},"treffer":{"vorhersage":1310,"immer_ueber":727,"abweichung_bleibt":686},"quote":{"vorhersage":85.2,"immer_ueber":47.3,"abweichung_bleibt":44.6},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":37.9,"abweichung_bleibt":40.6},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[29.7,45.9],"abweichung_bleibt":[33.8,47.6]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":209,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":111,"zu_hoch":116},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":152,"nahe":39,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":65,"nahe":503,"ueber":72},"ueber":{"unter":1,"nahe":50,"ueber":655}},"zieltage_von":"2026-07-20","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-19","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-07":300,"2026-08":375,"2026-09":505,"2026-10":357}},{"vorlauf":3,"faelle":1533,"zieltage":65,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.62,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.32,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":12.7,"nahe":38.1,"ueber":49.2},"treffer":{"vorhersage":1288,"immer_ueber":754,"abweichung_bleibt":751},"quote":{"vorhersage":84.0,"immer_ueber":49.2,"abweichung_bleibt":49.0},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":34.8,"abweichung_bleibt":35.0},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[27.0,43.7],"abweichung_bleibt":[28.2,42.1]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":209,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":120,"zu_hoch":125},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":126,"nahe":34,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":69,"nahe":494,"ueber":86},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":56,"ueber":668}},"zieltage_von":"2026-07-21","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-20","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-07":275,"2026-08":400,"2026-09":480,"2026-10":378}},{"vorlauf":4,"faelle":1529,"zieltage":65,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.82,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.58,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":11.7,"nahe":37.6,"ueber":50.7},"treffer":{"vorhersage":1259,"immer_ueber":775,"abweichung_bleibt":718},"quote":{"vorhersage":82.3,"immer_ueber":50.7,"abweichung_bleibt":47.0},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":31.7,"abweichung_bleibt":35.4},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[23.4,39.6],"abweichung_bleibt":[27.8,42.9]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":209,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":118,"zu_hoch":152},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":109,"nahe":37,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":62,"nahe":456,"ueber":81},"ueber":{"unter":8,"nahe":82,"ueber":694}},"zieltage_von":"2026-07-22","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-21","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-07":250,"2026-08":425,"2026-09":455,"2026-10":399}},{"vorlauf":5,"faelle":1525,"zieltage":65,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.03,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.82,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":9.6,"nahe":37.7,"ueber":52.7},"treffer":{"vorhersage":1187,"immer_ueber":803,"abweichung_bleibt":645},"quote":{"vorhersage":77.8,"immer_ueber":52.7,"abweichung_bleibt":42.3},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":25.2,"abweichung_bleibt":35.5},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[16.5,33.7],"abweichung_bleibt":[27.8,44.2]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":209,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":170,"zu_hoch":168},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":54,"nahe":38,"ueber":4},"nahe":{"unter":83,"nahe":462,"ueber":128},"ueber":{"unter":10,"nahe":75,"ueber":671}},"zieltage_von":"2026-07-23","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-22","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-07":225,"2026-08":450,"2026-09":430,"2026-10":420}},{"vorlauf":6,"faelle":1521,"zieltage":65,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.26,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":3.12,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.9,"nahe":37.2,"ueber":54.9},"treffer":{"vorhersage":1094,"immer_ueber":835,"abweichung_bleibt":618},"quote":{"vorhersage":71.9,"immer_ueber":54.9,"abweichung_bleibt":40.6},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":17.0,"abweichung_bleibt":31.3},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[8.0,26.5],"abweichung_bleibt":[22.3,40.7]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":209,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":202,"zu_hoch":225},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":35,"nahe":39,"ueber":2},"nahe":{"unter":64,"nahe":387,"ueber":161},"ueber":{"unter":21,"nahe":140,"ueber":672}},"zieltage_von":"2026-07-24","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-23","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-07":200,"2026-08":475,"2026-09":405,"2026-10":441}},{"vorlauf":7,"faelle":1517,"zieltage":65,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.23,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":3.11,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":8.4,"nahe":36.5,"ueber":55.0},"treffer":{"vorhersage":973,"immer_ueber":835,"abweichung_bleibt":656},"quote":{"vorhersage":64.1,"immer_ueber":55.0,"abweichung_bleibt":43.2},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":9.1,"abweichung_bleibt":20.9},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[-0.3,18.2],"abweichung_bleibt":[11.0,30.8]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":209,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":276,"zu_hoch":268},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":12,"nahe":59,"ueber":18},"nahe":{"unter":100,"nahe":343,"ueber":199},"ueber":{"unter":16,"nahe":152,"ueber":618}},"zieltage_von":"2026-07-25","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-24","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-07":175,"2026-08":500,"2026-09":380,"2026-10":462}}],"gleiche_zieltage":{"paare":973,"nach_vorlauf":[{"vorlauf":0,"faelle":973,"zieltage":41,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.07,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.98,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.6,"nahe":39.6,"ueber":52.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":871,"immer_ueber":514,"abweichung_bleibt":536},"quote":{"vorhersage":89.5,"immer_ueber":52.8,"abweichung_bleibt":55.1},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":36.7,"abweichung_bleibt":34.4},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[26.9,47.2],"abweichung_bleibt":[27.0,41.6]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":88,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":41,"zu_hoch":61},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":38,"nahe":7,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":36,"nahe":353,"ueber":34},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":25,"ueber":480}}},{"vorlauf":1,"faelle":973,"zieltage":41,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.07,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.9,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.6,"nahe":39.6,"ueber":52.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":863,"immer_ueber":514,"abweichung_bleibt":429},"quote":{"vorhersage":88.7,"immer_ueber":52.8,"abweichung_bleibt":44.1},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":35.9,"abweichung_bleibt":44.6},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[25.8,46.8],"abweichung_bleibt":[35.9,52.9]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":67,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":46,"zu_hoch":64},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":35,"nahe":5,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":39,"nahe":355,"ueber":41},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":25,"ueber":473}}},{"vorlauf":2,"faelle":973,"zieltage":41,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.07,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.74,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.6,"nahe":39.6,"ueber":52.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":833,"immer_ueber":514,"abweichung_bleibt":395},"quote":{"vorhersage":85.6,"immer_ueber":52.8,"abweichung_bleibt":40.6},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":32.8,"abweichung_bleibt":45.0},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[23.1,43.2],"abweichung_bleibt":[36.9,53.9]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":46,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":64,"zu_hoch":76},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":31,"nahe":10,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":42,"nahe":342,"ueber":54},"ueber":{"unter":1,"nahe":33,"ueber":460}}},{"vorlauf":3,"faelle":973,"zieltage":41,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.07,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.73,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.6,"nahe":39.6,"ueber":52.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":816,"immer_ueber":514,"abweichung_bleibt":447},"quote":{"vorhersage":83.9,"immer_ueber":52.8,"abweichung_bleibt":45.9},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":31.0,"abweichung_bleibt":37.9},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[21.7,41.5],"abweichung_bleibt":[29.1,47.0]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":25,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":77,"zu_hoch":80},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":29,"nahe":13,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":45,"nahe":337,"ueber":64},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":35,"ueber":450}}},{"vorlauf":4,"faelle":973,"zieltage":41,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.07,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.73,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.6,"nahe":39.6,"ueber":52.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":784,"immer_ueber":514,"abweichung_bleibt":447},"quote":{"vorhersage":80.6,"immer_ueber":52.8,"abweichung_bleibt":45.9},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":27.7,"abweichung_bleibt":34.6},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[18.6,38.2],"abweichung_bleibt":[23.8,45.3]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":25,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":89,"zu_hoch":100},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":30,"nahe":22,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":40,"nahe":307,"ueber":67},"ueber":{"unter":4,"nahe":56,"ueber":447}}},{"vorlauf":5,"faelle":973,"zieltage":41,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.07,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.49,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.6,"nahe":39.6,"ueber":52.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":753,"immer_ueber":514,"abweichung_bleibt":402},"quote":{"vorhersage":77.4,"immer_ueber":52.8,"abweichung_bleibt":41.3},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":24.6,"abweichung_bleibt":36.1},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[14.4,35.8],"abweichung_bleibt":[25.3,47.7]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":25,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":136,"zu_hoch":84},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":28,"nahe":29,"ueber":4},"nahe":{"unter":42,"nahe":318,"ueber":103},"ueber":{"unter":4,"nahe":38,"ueber":407}}},{"vorlauf":6,"faelle":973,"zieltage":41,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.07,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.45,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.6,"nahe":39.6,"ueber":52.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":674,"immer_ueber":514,"abweichung_bleibt":396},"quote":{"vorhersage":69.3,"immer_ueber":52.8,"abweichung_bleibt":40.7},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":16.4,"abweichung_bleibt":28.6},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[4.8,29.2],"abweichung_bleibt":[16.9,40.5]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":50,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":166,"zu_hoch":133},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":23,"nahe":25,"ueber":2},"nahe":{"unter":42,"nahe":278,"ueber":139},"ueber":{"unter":9,"nahe":82,"ueber":373}}},{"vorlauf":7,"faelle":973,"zieltage":41,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.07,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.53,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":7.6,"nahe":39.6,"ueber":52.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":620,"immer_ueber":514,"abweichung_bleibt":430},"quote":{"vorhersage":63.7,"immer_ueber":52.8,"abweichung_bleibt":44.2},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":10.9,"abweichung_bleibt":19.5},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[-1.9,22.7],"abweichung_bleibt":[8.8,30.2]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":121,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":200,"zu_hoch":153},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":12,"nahe":54,"ueber":12},"nahe":{"unter":55,"nahe":240,"ueber":134},"ueber":{"unter":7,"nahe":91,"ueber":368}}}]},"versatz":{"vorlauf":0,"staedte":[{"slug":"saarbruecken","name":"Saarbruecken","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":4.06,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":3.54,"stationsanteil_k":0.52,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":65.2,"gitter_hoehe_m":200.0},{"slug":"konstanz","name":"Konstanz","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":4.02,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":3.6,"stationsanteil_k":0.42,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":66.7,"gitter_hoehe_m":408.0},{"slug":"karlsruhe","name":"Karlsruhe","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.8,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":3.38,"stationsanteil_k":0.43,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":63.6,"gitter_hoehe_m":122.0},{"slug":"muenchen","name":"Muenchen","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.7,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.81,"stationsanteil_k":0.89,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":62.1,"gitter_hoehe_m":524.0},{"slug":"freiburg","name":"Freiburg","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.66,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":3.57,"stationsanteil_k":0.1,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":62.1,"gitter_hoehe_m":272.0},{"slug":"augsburg","name":"Augsburg","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.19,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.65,"stationsanteil_k":0.54,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":57.6,"gitter_hoehe_m":491.0},{"slug":"frankfurt","name":"Frankfurt","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":3.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.64,"stationsanteil_k":0.5,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":59.1,"gitter_hoehe_m":103.0},{"slug":"stuttgart","name":"Stuttgart","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.95,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":3.39,"stationsanteil_k":-0.44,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":54.5,"gitter_hoehe_m":249.0},{"slug":"nuernberg","name":"Nuernberg","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.67,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.82,"stationsanteil_k":-0.15,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":53.0,"gitter_hoehe_m":308.0},{"slug":"koeln","name":"Koeln","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.62,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.4,"stationsanteil_k":0.22,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":48.5,"gitter_hoehe_m":55.0},{"slug":"dortmund","name":"Dortmund","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.59,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.4,"stationsanteil_k":0.19,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":50.0,"gitter_hoehe_m":103.0},{"slug":"magdeburg","name":"Magdeburg","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.27,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.8,"stationsanteil_k":0.48,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":43.9,"gitter_hoehe_m":58.0},{"slug":"dresden","name":"Dresden","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":2.09,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.87,"stationsanteil_k":0.23,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":43.9,"gitter_hoehe_m":115.0},{"slug":"leipzig","name":"Leipzig","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":1.96,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.84,"stationsanteil_k":0.12,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":36.4,"gitter_hoehe_m":115.0},{"slug":"duesseldorf","name":"Duesseldorf","faelle":45,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":1.81,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.79,"stationsanteil_k":0.02,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":40.0,"gitter_hoehe_m":42.0},{"slug":"essen","name":"Essen","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":1.69,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.2,"stationsanteil_k":-0.52,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":43.9,"gitter_hoehe_m":88.0},{"slug":"muenster","name":"Muenster","faelle":45,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":1.6,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.36,"stationsanteil_k":0.24,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":40.0,"gitter_hoehe_m":67.0},{"slug":"bremen","name":"Bremen","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":1.55,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.33,"stationsanteil_k":0.21,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":36.4,"gitter_hoehe_m":17.0},{"slug":"erfurt","name":"Erfurt","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":1.42,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.2,"stationsanteil_k":-0.78,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":36.4,"gitter_hoehe_m":199.0},{"slug":"kassel","name":"Kassel","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":1.4,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":2.18,"stationsanteil_k":-0.78,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":39.4,"gitter_hoehe_m":178.0},{"slug":"hamburg","name":"Hamburg","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":1.03,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.26,"stationsanteil_k":-0.23,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":30.3,"gitter_hoehe_m":11.0},{"slug":"kiel","name":"Kiel","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.95,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.08,"stationsanteil_k":-0.13,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":28.8,"gitter_hoehe_m":23.0},{"slug":"berlin","name":"Berlin","faelle":45,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.82,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.48,"stationsanteil_k":0.34,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":33.3,"gitter_hoehe_m":37.0},{"slug":"rostock","name":"Rostock","faelle":66,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.8,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.63,"stationsanteil_k":0.17,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":30.3,"gitter_hoehe_m":10.0},{"slug":"hannover","name":"Hannover","faelle":45,"mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.76,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.95,"stationsanteil_k":-0.19,"anteil_ueber_gemessen":26.7,"gitter_hoehe_m":60.0}],"spanne_k":3.3,"spanne_vorhersage_k":3.12,"spanne_stationsanteil_k":1.67,"mittel_gemessen_k":2.32,"mittel_vorhersage_k":2.22}},"tmin":{"bezeichnung":"Tagestiefstwert","zustand":"ok","faelle":3160,"zieltage":29,"staedte":21,"ohne_vortag":29,"ohne_mittel":0,"vorhersage_ab_ausgabetag":"2026-09-27","messung_von":"2026-09-11","messung_bis":"2026-11-01","staedte_mit_messung":21,"nach_vorlauf":[{"vorlauf":0,"faelle":413,"zieltage":20,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.57,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.88,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":14.8,"nahe":57.9,"ueber":27.4},"treffer":{"vorhersage":286,"immer_ueber":113,"abweichung_bleibt":210},"quote":{"vorhersage":69.2,"immer_ueber":27.4,"abweichung_bleibt":50.8},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":41.9,"abweichung_bleibt":18.4},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[31.9,53.1],"abweichung_bleibt":[11.9,24.5]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":104,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":9,"zu_hoch":118},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":17,"nahe":1,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":41,"nahe":164,"ueber":8},"ueber":{"unter":3,"nahe":74,"ueber":105}},"zieltage_von":"2026-09-27","zieltage_bis":"2026-11-01","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-09":42,"2026-10":350,"2026-11":21}},{"vorlauf":1,"faelle":391,"zieltage":19,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.7,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.96,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":13.6,"nahe":57.3,"ueber":29.2},"treffer":{"vorhersage":257,"immer_ueber":114,"abweichung_bleibt":171},"quote":{"vorhersage":65.7,"immer_ueber":29.2,"abweichung_bleibt":43.7},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":36.6,"abweichung_bleibt":22.0},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[26.0,49.2],"abweichung_bleibt":[12.8,30.2]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":84,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":11,"zu_hoch":123},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":14,"nahe":2,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":38,"nahe":138,"ueber":9},"ueber":{"unter":1,"nahe":84,"ueber":105}},"zieltage_von":"2026-09-28","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-18","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-09":41,"2026-10":350}},{"vorlauf":2,"faelle":391,"zieltage":19,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.63,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.46,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":13.8,"nahe":58.6,"ueber":27.6},"treffer":{"vorhersage":273,"immer_ueber":108,"abweichung_bleibt":162},"quote":{"vorhersage":69.8,"immer_ueber":27.6,"abweichung_bleibt":41.4},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":42.2,"abweichung_bleibt":28.4},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[31.0,53.6],"abweichung_bleibt":[19.6,37.1]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":84,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":27,"zu_hoch":91},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":17,"nahe":2,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":37,"nahe":173,"ueber":25},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":54,"ueber":83}},"zieltage_von":"2026-09-29","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-19","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-09":41,"2026-10":350}},{"vorlauf":3,"faelle":392,"zieltage":19,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.5,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.06,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":16.3,"nahe":57.1,"ueber":26.5},"treffer":{"vorhersage":259,"immer_ueber":104,"abweichung_bleibt":161},"quote":{"vorhersage":66.1,"immer_ueber":26.5,"abweichung_bleibt":41.1},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":39.5,"abweichung_bleibt":25.0},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[28.1,50.8],"abweichung_bleibt":[11.4,36.9]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":84,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":43,"zu_hoch":90},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":24,"nahe":7,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":37,"nahe":167,"ueber":36},"ueber":{"unter":3,"nahe":50,"ueber":68}},"zieltage_von":"2026-09-30","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-20","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-09":21,"2026-10":371}},{"vorlauf":4,"faelle":392,"zieltage":19,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.59,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.28,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":15.8,"nahe":56.1,"ueber":28.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":237,"immer_ueber":110,"abweichung_bleibt":155},"quote":{"vorhersage":60.5,"immer_ueber":28.1,"abweichung_bleibt":39.5},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":32.4,"abweichung_bleibt":20.9},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[21.4,43.9],"abweichung_bleibt":[12.2,30.7]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":83,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":49,"zu_hoch":106},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":11,"nahe":11,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":47,"nahe":154,"ueber":38},"ueber":{"unter":4,"nahe":55,"ueber":72}},"zieltage_von":"2026-10-01","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-21","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-10":392}},{"vorlauf":5,"faelle":393,"zieltage":19,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.5,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.1,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":15.3,"nahe":58.5,"ueber":26.2},"treffer":{"vorhersage":249,"immer_ueber":103,"abweichung_bleibt":167},"quote":{"vorhersage":63.4,"immer_ueber":26.2,"abweichung_bleibt":42.5},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":37.2,"abweichung_bleibt":20.9},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[24.0,49.2],"abweichung_bleibt":[8.9,31.1]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":83,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":49,"zu_hoch":95},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":25,"nahe":8,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":31,"nahe":162,"ueber":41},"ueber":{"unter":4,"nahe":60,"ueber":62}},"zieltage_von":"2026-10-02","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-22","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-10":393}},{"vorlauf":6,"faelle":394,"zieltage":19,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.29,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.93,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":15.5,"nahe":62.4,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":212,"immer_ueber":87,"abweichung_bleibt":180},"quote":{"vorhersage":53.8,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":45.7},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":31.7,"abweichung_bleibt":8.1},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[19.6,44.3],"abweichung_bleibt":[-5.8,19.8]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":83,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":69,"zu_hoch":113},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":27,"nahe":19,"ueber":4},"nahe":{"unter":25,"nahe":148,"ueber":46},"ueber":{"unter":9,"nahe":79,"ueber":37}},"zieltage_von":"2026-10-03","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-23","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-10":394}},{"vorlauf":7,"faelle":394,"zieltage":19,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.2,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.25,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":16.0,"nahe":64.2,"ueber":19.8},"treffer":{"vorhersage":194,"immer_ueber":78,"abweichung_bleibt":170},"quote":{"vorhersage":49.2,"immer_ueber":19.8,"abweichung_bleibt":43.1},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":29.4,"abweichung_bleibt":6.1},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[17.0,43.4],"abweichung_bleibt":[-5.1,17.9]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":84,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":62,"zu_hoch":138},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":10,"nahe":19,"ueber":3},"nahe":{"unter":27,"nahe":149,"ueber":40},"ueber":{"unter":26,"nahe":85,"ueber":35}},"zieltage_von":"2026-10-04","zieltage_bis":"2026-10-24","faelle_je_monat":{"2026-10":394}}],"gleiche_zieltage":{"paare":195,"nach_vorlauf":[{"vorlauf":0,"faelle":195,"zieltage":10,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.13,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":17.9,"nahe":60.0,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":144,"immer_ueber":43,"abweichung_bleibt":98},"quote":{"vorhersage":73.8,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":50.3},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":51.8,"abweichung_bleibt":23.6},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[36.9,66.7],"abweichung_bleibt":[15.7,32.5]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":62,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":6,"zu_hoch":45},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":14,"nahe":1,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":21,"nahe":92,"ueber":5},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":24,"ueber":38}}},{"vorlauf":1,"faelle":195,"zieltage":10,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.02,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":17.9,"nahe":60.0,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":140,"immer_ueber":43,"abweichung_bleibt":94},"quote":{"vorhersage":71.8,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":48.2},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":49.7,"abweichung_bleibt":23.6},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[34.3,64.6],"abweichung_bleibt":[12.5,33.8]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":42,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":9,"zu_hoch":46},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":14,"nahe":2,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":21,"nahe":90,"ueber":7},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":25,"ueber":36}}},{"vorlauf":2,"faelle":195,"zieltage":10,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.63,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":17.9,"nahe":60.0,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":144,"immer_ueber":43,"abweichung_bleibt":90},"quote":{"vorhersage":73.8,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":46.2},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":51.8,"abweichung_bleibt":27.7},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[35.2,67.5],"abweichung_bleibt":[14.7,40.5]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":21,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":17,"zu_hoch":34},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":17,"nahe":2,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":18,"nahe":99,"ueber":15},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":16,"ueber":28}}},{"vorlauf":3,"faelle":195,"zieltage":10,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.46,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":17.9,"nahe":60.0,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":130,"immer_ueber":43,"abweichung_bleibt":97},"quote":{"vorhersage":66.7,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":49.7},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":44.6,"abweichung_bleibt":16.9},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[25.6,62.4],"abweichung_bleibt":[-3.1,34.9]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":0,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":26,"zu_hoch":39},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":19,"nahe":4,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":16,"nahe":90,"ueber":22},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":23,"ueber":21}}},{"vorlauf":4,"faelle":195,"zieltage":10,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.99,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":17.9,"nahe":60.0,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":124,"immer_ueber":43,"abweichung_bleibt":83},"quote":{"vorhersage":63.6,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":42.6},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":41.5,"abweichung_bleibt":21.0},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[26.5,57.5],"abweichung_bleibt":[9.7,35.4]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":0,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":19,"zu_hoch":52},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":9,"nahe":5,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":26,"nahe":86,"ueber":14},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":26,"ueber":29}}},{"vorlauf":5,"faelle":195,"zieltage":10,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.73,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":17.9,"nahe":60.0,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":131,"immer_ueber":43,"abweichung_bleibt":94},"quote":{"vorhersage":67.2,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":48.2},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":45.1,"abweichung_bleibt":19.0},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[24.5,63.7],"abweichung_bleibt":[2.0,34.9]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":0,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":22,"zu_hoch":42},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":22,"nahe":6,"ueber":0},"nahe":{"unter":13,"nahe":82,"ueber":16},"ueber":{"unter":0,"nahe":29,"ueber":27}}},{"vorlauf":6,"faelle":195,"zieltage":10,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":0.52,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":17.9,"nahe":60.0,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":115,"immer_ueber":43,"abweichung_bleibt":89},"quote":{"vorhersage":59.0,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":45.6},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":36.9,"abweichung_bleibt":13.3},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[15.2,55.7],"abweichung_bleibt":[-7.3,30.7]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":0,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":36,"zu_hoch":44},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":23,"nahe":14,"ueber":2},"nahe":{"unter":10,"nahe":71,"ueber":20},"ueber":{"unter":2,"nahe":32,"ueber":21}}},{"vorlauf":7,"faelle":195,"zieltage":10,"zustand":"ok","mittlere_abweichung_gemessen":0.14,"mittlere_abweichung_vorhersage":1.36,"gemessen_prozent":{"unter":17.9,"nahe":60.0,"ueber":22.1},"treffer":{"vorhersage":97,"immer_ueber":43,"abweichung_bleibt":81},"quote":{"vorhersage":49.7,"immer_ueber":22.1,"abweichung_bleibt":41.5},"vorsprung_pp":{"immer_ueber":27.7,"abweichung_bleibt":8.2},"vorsprung_spanne95_pp":{"immer_ueber":[10.1,48.5],"abweichung_bleibt":[-10.6,29.5]},"faelle_aus_spaeten_laeufen":19,"vorhersage_daneben":{"zu_tief":27,"zu_hoch":71},"matrix_vorhersage_gegen_gemessen":{"unter":{"unter":9,"nahe":11,"ueber":3},"nahe":{"unter":13,"nahe":61,"ueber":13},"ueber":{"unter":13,"nahe":45,"ueber":27}}}]},"versatz":{"vorlauf":0,"staedte":[],"spanne_k":null,"spanne_vorhersage_k":null,"spanne_stationsanteil_k":null,"mittel_gemessen_k":0.57,"mittel_vorhersage_k":1.88}}},"license":"CC BY 4.0 (Open-Meteo, ERA5) / DWD GeoNutzV (Messung)"}